Alvaro Serrano (Morgan Stanley) — Analyst Ratings, Accuracy & Track Record

Q: How accurate are Alvaro Serrano's stock ratings?

About 80% of Alvaro's ratings were profitable over a one-year hold, with an average return of +23.8% per rating, measured by 13Foresight from historical prices.

Q: How is Alvaro ranked?

Alvaro Serrano is ranked #703 on 13Foresight, scored on hit rate, average return versus the market, and number of calls.

Analyst Tracker/Alvaro Serrano

Alvaro Serrano

Morgan Stanley

Wall Street Analyst

★★★★☆

#703

on 13Foresight · ranked by our own returns

80%

Success Rate

+23.8%

Average Return

4 of 5 calls profitable · +8.2% vs benchmark

Time Frame ⓘ

1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr

Compare To ⓘ

🔒 3-year track record is Pro. Showing 1-year — upgrade.

📈 Across the calls we could measure, roughly 80% of Alvaro Serrano's ratings turned a profit when each position was held for 1 year — averaging +23.8% per rating. These figures are computed by 13Foresight from historical prices, not supplied by the analyst.

Rating Distribution

31 Buy 47 Hold 8 Sell

Alvaro's Stock Coverage 27 ratings · 2026-07-15

Company	Date	Position	Consensus ⓘ	Price Target ⓘ	1-Yr Return
GB:HSBA HSBC Holdings	Jul 08, 2026	HOLD	Buy -12.8% avg upside 16 analysts	$1527.00 2.57% Upside	·
AIBRF AIB Group	Jul 08, 2026	HOLD	Hold -23.2% avg upside 12 analysts	$12.53 6.36% Upside	·
GB:NWG NatWest Group	Jul 08, 2026	HOLD	Buy -0.3% avg upside 11 analysts	$740.00 13.98% Upside	·
ES:BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria	Jul 02, 2026	HOLD	Strong Buy -27.7% avg upside 22 analysts	$22.00 2.50% Downside	·
ES:UNI Unicaja Banco SA	Jul 02, 2026	SELL	Sell -25.6% avg upside 10 analysts	$2.50 23.37% Downside	·
ES:CABK CAIXABANK	Jul 02, 2026	HOLD	Buy -24.9% avg upside 16 analysts	$13.00 4.07% Upside	·
ES:SAN Banco Santander	Jul 02, 2026	BUY	Buy -17.9% avg upside 20 analysts	$13.50 12.62% Upside	·
ES:SAB Banco de Sabadell	Jul 02, 2026	HOLD	Hold -10.9% avg upside 11 analysts	$3.00 5.60% Downside	·
GB:BARC Barclays	Jul 02, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -14.0% avg upside 14 analysts	$610.00 17.35% Upside	·
ES:BKT Bankinter	Jul 02, 2026	HOLD	Hold -27.0% avg upside 18 analysts	$16.00 3.25% Upside	·
GB:LLOY Lloyds Banking	Jun 30, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -9.3% avg upside 13 analysts	$135.00 20.61% Upside	·
DE:CBK Commerzbank	May 17, 2026	HOLD	Buy -36.6% avg upside 24 analysts	$39.50 1.11% Upside	·
DE:BIRG Bank Of Ireland Group plc	May 01, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -13.0% avg upside 12 analysts	$19.00 6.98% Upside	·
IT:ISP Intesa Sanpaolo SpA	Jan 05, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -17.5% avg upside 15 analysts	$7.20 13.51% Upside	·
IT:BAMI Banco BPM S.p.A.	Jan 05, 2026	SELL	Sell -54.7% avg upside 7 analysts	$14.00 10.13% Downside	·
GB:BPT Bridgepoint Group Plc	Nov 24, 2025	BUY	Strong Buy +15.8% avg upside 7 analysts	$360.00 22.87% Upside	·
IT:UCG UniCredit SpA	Nov 24, 2025	HOLD	Strong Buy -17.6% avg upside 11 analysts	$76.00 7.39% Downside	·
IT:MB Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario S.p.A.	Sep 02, 2025	HOLD	Buy -50.5% avg upside 6 analysts	—	·
NBNKF Nordea Bank Abp	Mar 07, 2025	BUY	Hold -18.6% avg upside 11 analysts	$17.65 3.44% Downside	·
NL:INGA ING GROEP	Mar 07, 2025	HOLD	Strong Buy -16.0% avg upside 14 analysts	$21.00 26.92% Downside	·
NWG NatWest Group	Feb 19, 2024	HOLD	Strong Buy -59.6% avg upside 9 analysts	$3.61 79.09% Downside	+102.3%
DE:DBK Deutsche Bank AG	Apr 27, 2023	HOLD	Buy -25.2% avg upside 31 analysts	$12.00 61.91% Downside	·
LYG Lloyds Banking	Oct 17, 2022	HOLD	Hold 7 analysts	—	+16.2%
IT:BFF BFF Bank SpA	May 20, 2022	BUY	Strong Buy +216.5% avg upside 3 analysts	$10.50 238.03% Upside	·
BBVA Banco Bilbao	Jul 07, 2021	HOLD	Hold -62.0% avg upside 11 analysts	$6.38 75.12% Downside	-23.5%
GB:SMIN Smiths Group plc	Sep 28, 2020	HOLD	Buy -14.9% avg upside 16 analysts	$1480.00 40.73% Downside	·
SCGLY Societe Generale	Jan 09, 2019	HOLD	Sell +138.0% avg upside 8 analysts	$45.56 165.87% Upside	+18.1%

🔒 22 more ratings — with price targets, crowd consensus and our measured returns.

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Alvaro Serrano — Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are Alvaro Serrano's stock ratings?

Based on the calls 13Foresight could measure, about 80% of Alvaro's ratings were profitable over a one-year hold, with an average return of +23.8% per rating, or +8.2% versus the S&P 500. We score every analyst the same way, from historical prices.

How is Alvaro ranked on 13Foresight?

Alvaro Serrano is currently ranked #703 with a 4-star rating. Our rank blends hit rate, average return versus the market, and how many calls we have to judge — so a long, consistent record outweighs a few lucky picks. It is our own calculation, updated daily.

Which stocks does Alvaro cover?

Alvaro most recently has ratings on GB:HSBA, AIBRF, GB:NWG, ES:BBVA, ES:UNI, ES:CABK, ES:SAN, ES:SAB, GB:BARC, ES:BKT, GB:LLOY, DE:CBK and 15 more. See the full coverage table above for positions, price targets and our measured returns.

Where can I see other analyst ratings?

Browse the full analyst leaderboard to compare Wall Street analysts ranked by their measured performance, success rate and average return.

Disclaimer: 13Foresight compiles analyst ratings and price targets from publicly available sources. Performance metrics, rankings and star ratings shown here are calculated independently by 13Foresight from historical market prices and may differ from figures published elsewhere. This information may be incomplete, delayed or inaccurate, is provided for research and informational purposes only, and is not investment advice. The underlying ratings and opinions are those of the respective analysts and their firms; 13Foresight accepts no liability for any decisions made based on this data.

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