Hedge Fund

Heron Bay Capital Management

Coral Springs, FL SEC Reporting (13F Filer) Institutional CIK: 0001842149
13F Score ?
10
3Y · Top 10 · Mgr Wt
13F Score ?
7Y · Top 10 · Mgr Wt
S&P 500 ?
80
Benchmark
$524M
AUM
+1.22%
2025 Q4
+6.23%
1-Year Return
+46.87%
Top 10 Concentration
+6.72%
Turnover
-2.14%
AUM Change
Since 2020
First Filing
109
# of Holdings

Fund Overview

13F Filed: 2026-02-13

As of 2025 Q4, Heron Bay Capital Management manages $524M in reported 13F assets , holds 109 positions with +46.87% top-10 concentration , and delivered a 1-year return of +6.23% on its disclosed equity portfolio. Filing 13F reports since 2020.

About

Investment Strategy

Analytics Summary

Risk Profile

Key Personnel

Alexander Karpov — Managing Partner / Chief Investment Officer
Official 13F Filings — SEC EDGAR Key personnel and Fund Overview may contain mistakes

Activity Summary — 2025 Q4

Q4 2025 13F Filed: Feb 13, 2026

Top Buys

% $
Stock % Impact
+1.34%
+0.95%
+0.65%
+0.54%
+0.36%
+0.35%

Top Sells

% $
Stock % Impact
-1.53%
-0.87%
-0.74%
-0.70%
-0.68%
-0.50%

Top Holdings

2025 Q4
Stock %
5.74%
5.71%
5.43%
5.22%
4.58%
4.51%
View All Holdings

Activity Summary

Latest
Market Value $524M
AUM Change -2.14%
New Positions 18
Increased Positions 24
Closed Positions 15
Top 10 Concentration +46.87%
Portfolio Turnover +6.72%
Alt Turnover +7.81%

Sector Allocation Trends

Quarterly History
Free View: Last 10 Quarters. Subscribe to see full history

Holdings Analysis

Size: % of Portfolio Color: Last Full-Quarter Return No data
Free: 10 quarters

Positions Dynamics

Visualizing Top 20 holdings weight history over the last 10 quarters.

Portfolio Analytics — Latest

Heron Bay Capital Management risk dashboard covering volatility, beta, value-at-risk, drawdowns, concentration, factor tilts, benchmark comparison, and stress testing for the latest disclosed portfolio.

Risk access
Building institutional risk profile...
Guru Intelligence Hub Pro
Real-time Analytics
High-Conviction Alpha
AAPL 92.4
NVDA 88.1
MSFT 74.3
Strategy Guardian
Style Drift 0.12
Sector Rotation 0.38

Tracking institutional benchmark deviation

Scenario Lab
2008 GFC -32.4%
Covid-19 -18.1%
2022 Bear -24.7%
Unlock the full Guru Intelligence Hub
Real conviction scores for every holding  ·  Strategy Guardian alerts  ·  Live Scenario Lab stress tests
Upgrade to Pro

Best Strategy vs. Benchmarks

AI Backtest: Auto-Optimizing...
Loading AI Backtest...
Don't be Fooled by Randomness
Access Alpha, Capture Ratios, and Batting Average calibrated for this specific strategy.
UPGRADE NOW
Nassim Taleb — author of Fooled by Randomness
Returns
--
Latest Quarter
--
1-Year Return
--
Ann. Return
Risk
--
Std Deviation
--
Max Drawdown
--
Beta vs SPY
Quality
--
Sharpe
--
Sortino
--
Win Rate
--
Payoff Ratio
Edge Metrics Last 10 quarters only
--
Alpha annualized
--
Up Capture
--
Down Capture

Strategy Backtester: Heron Bay Capital Management

Replicate top holdings performance • Compare vs benchmarks • Optimize N

Find the best N! Test multiple portfolio sizes at once to discover the optimal configuration.

Risk insights! Identify periods when the fund lagged the benchmark – critical for timing entries.

⏱ Run Backtest

Liquid Glass Edition

0
Backtests Run
+127%
Avg. Return

👆 Click the button to launch tickers!

Don't Be Fooled by Randomness
Proven alpha spans cycles, not just 24 months. Unlock full history since 1999.
PRO ACCESS
Free Demo
Try the Backtester on Real Funds
Run full-history backtests on a curated 2-3 funds. See signal quality, drawdowns, and cycle behavior before you decide.
Underperformance Analysis — Top 10 Holdings vs SPY

Backtesting Heron Bay Capital Management's top 10 holdings against SPY identified 13 underperformance periods. Worst drawdown: 2023-09 – 2024-07 (-24.2% vs SPY, 11 quarters).

Avg. lag: -7.2% vs SPY Avg. duration: 3.0 quarters
Backtest Snapshot — Top 10 Holdings (Mn-Weighted)

The ticker-level breakdown shows how each of Heron Bay Capital Management's top holdings contributed to portfolio returns quarter by quarter. Strongest recent contributors inside the last 5 years of the quarterly Top 10 backtest window: GOOGL (2021 Q1 – 2025 Q3, +11.6 pts), LPLA (2022 Q4 – 2025 Q3, +7.5 pts), VNT (2021 Q3 – 2025 Q3, +6.2 pts), CCSI (2023 Q4 – 2025 Q3, +5.6 pts), MSFT (2021 Q1 – 2025 Q3, +5.5 pts) .

Strategy ann.: 3.8% SPY ann.: 14.7% Period: 2021–2026
Best Recent Contributors — Last 5Y
3 of 5 recent top contributors lagged SPY, which means even some of this fund's best return drivers still failed to beat a simple index over the same window.
2021 Q1 – 2025 Q3 • 19Q in Top 10 Beat SPY
GOOGL
+168%
SPY
+75%
Contrib
+11.6%
2022 Q4 – 2025 Q3 • 12Q in Top 10 Lagged SPY
LPLA
+44%
SPY
+77%
Contrib
+7.5%
2021 Q3 – 2025 Q3 • 16Q in Top 10 Lagged SPY
VNT
+28%
SPY
+69%
Contrib
+6.2%
2023 Q4 – 2025 Q3 • 8Q in Top 10 Beat SPY
CCSI
+50%
SPY
+47%
Contrib
+5.6%
2021 Q1 – 2025 Q3 • 19Q in Top 10 Lagged SPY
MSFT
+62%
SPY
+75%
Contrib
+5.5%
Stock return (green = beat SPY)   Stock return (red = lagged SPY)   SPY same period   Cumulative contribution during the last 5 years of the quarterly Mn-weighted Top 10 strategy

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Heron Bay Capital Management invest in?
Heron Bay Capital Management pursues an opportunistic, growth-oriented investment strategy that targets equity positions with significant capital appreciation potential. The firm's approach reflects an active management philosophy that seeks to identify companies benefiting from secular growth trends, disruptive innovation, or fundamental inflection points where the market has not yet fully priced forward earnings potential. The **13F Portfolio Composition** disclosed in the firm's quarterly filings reveals a portfolio that tilts toward growth-oriented sectors, with technology and healthcare holdings frequently appearing among the firm's most significant positions. This sector orientation reflects a conviction that innovation-driven industries offer the most compelling risk-reward opportunities in the current market landscape, though the firm's opportunistic mandate allows for tactical positioning across other sectors when compelling opportunities arise. Unlike diversified wealth management strategies that maintain broad, benchmark-aware sector allocations, Heron Bay Capital Management's portfolio demonstrates a willingness to concentrate capital in its highest-conviction ideas. The **Top 10 Holdings Concentration** observable through the firm's 13F filings suggests a portfolio where the largest positions carry meaningful weight, reflecting the hedge fund ethos of sizing positions commensurate with conviction level rather than distributing capital broadly to minimize tracking error. This concentration is a deliberate feature of the strategy, designed to maximize the impact of successful investment theses on overall portfolio returns. The **Sector Allocation History** across the firm's available filing record provides early indicators of how dynamically the fund repositions across sectors. Initial observations suggest a willingness to shift sector weights meaningfully between reporting periods, consistent with an active, thesis-driven approach that adjusts positioning in response to evolving market conditions, earnings developments, and macroeconomic signals. This tactical flexibility distinguishes the fund from more static allocation strategies and introduces a dimension of timing-dependent risk and reward. Portfolio turnover appears to be moderate to high based on observed changes between quarterly filings. Positions may be established around specific catalysts — such as product launches, regulatory decisions, earnings inflections, or M&A activity — and actively managed or exited as theses evolve. This active management approach reflects the hedge fund orientation of the practice, where capital preservation through disciplined exit strategies is valued alongside the pursuit of outsized returns through well-timed entries. INVESTMENT STRATEGY — GROWTH AND CATALYST FOCUS The fund's growth orientation extends beyond simple sector selection to encompass a broader thematic and catalyst-driven framework. Positions appear to be selected not merely because they operate within growth industries but because the investment team identifies specific drivers — such as revenue acceleration, margin expansion, market share gains, or transformative strategic initiatives — that could unlock meaningful valuation re-rating. This catalyst-aware approach adds a temporal dimension to the investment process, as the timing of position establishment and exit is likely informed by the anticipated timeline of catalyst realization. This thematic focus means that the fund's portfolio may exhibit factor characteristics that differ significantly from broad market indices. Growth-factor exposure, momentum sensitivity, and higher-beta positioning are likely features of the portfolio's risk-factor profile, creating the potential for outsized returns during growth-led market advances and elevated vulnerability during risk-off environments or value-rotation regimes.
What is Heron Bay Capital Management's AUM?
Heron Bay Capital Management reported $524M in 13F assets as of 2025 Q4. Note: 13F AUM reflects only long equity positions reported to the SEC and may differ from total assets under management.
How concentrated is Heron Bay Capital Management's portfolio?
Heron Bay Capital Management holds 109 disclosed positions. The top 10 holdings represent +46.87% of the reported portfolio, indicating a diversified investment approach.
How to track Heron Bay Capital Management 13F filings?
Track Heron Bay Capital Management's quarterly filings on SEC EDGAR or on this page — data is updated within days of each filing deadline. Subscribe to 13Foresight for position-change alerts.
Who manages Heron Bay Capital Management?
Heron Bay Capital Management is managed by Alexander Karpov (Managing Partner / Chief Investment Officer).

Disclaimer: 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or financial planner. All information on this site is provided solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Portfolio backtests shown on this page are hypothetical and simulated — they do not represent actual trading results and were constructed with the benefit of hindsight. Actual results would differ materially. 13F filings disclose only long equity positions valued above $10,000, submitted up to 45 days after quarter-end; they do not capture short positions, options, bonds, cash, private investments, or non-U.S. securities. A fund's backtest performance may not reflect its actual returns, as managers frequently generate alpha through strategies not visible in 13F data. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from public SEC EDGAR filings. Use at your own risk. Full Terms of Use.

Full history →