Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

AFYA LTD (AFYA)

54 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AFYA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -4
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
41%

Smart Money Signals — AFYA

Based on 54 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AFYA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 72% of 3.0Y peak

72% of all-time peak
54 funds currently hold this stock — 72% of the 3.0-year high of 75 funds (reached 2024 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 11% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
7 fewer hedge funds hold AFYA compared to a year ago (-11% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying

23 buying33 selling
Last quarter: 33 funds reduced or exited vs 23 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~8 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 15 → 15 → 10 → 8. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 57% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 20% new
31 out of 54 hedge funds have held AFYA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

9 → 15 → 15 → 10 → 8 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 15 → 15 → 10 → 8. AFYA is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 63% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 63% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 26% new
Of 54 current holders: 34 (63%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 30% AUM from major funds

30% from top-100 AUM funds
18 of 54 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 30% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
2.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AFYA

In 2026 Q1, 23 hedge funds were net buyers of AFYA (8 opened a new position, 15 added to an existing one), while 33 reduced or exited (21 trimmed, 12 sold completely) — a 41% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 30% of total institutional value in AFYA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -4 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 54.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AFYA

How many hedge funds hold AFYA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AFYA vs. share price

Market Analysis: AFYA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AFYA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy AFYA LTD (AFYA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AFYA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLP) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 51d ago
AFYA
-5.1%
XLP
+4.3%

AFYA outperformed XLP by -9.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 6d ago
AFYA
-0.8%
XLP
+1.0%

Since the filing became public, AFYA outperformed XLP by -1.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

3 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
2.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AFYA
54 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AFYA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 54 58 -6.9%
13F Shares 12M 12M -0.89%
Total Value $174M $182M -4.12%
New Positions 8 10 -2
Increased Positions 15 17 -2
Closed Positions 12 20 -8
Reduced Positions 21 20 +1
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: AFYA

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Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

54 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AFYA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of AFYA — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Doma Perpetual Capital Management LLC 9.12% 2,285,093 $34.0M
2 R Squared Ltd 0.32% 39,081 $581K
3 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP. 0.32% 2,433,323 $36.2M
4 Fairtree Asset Management (Pty) Ltd 0.28% 41,299 $614K
5 BAMCO INC /NY/ 0.07% 1,483,658 $22.1M
6 PDT Partners, LLC 0.04% 44,219 $658K
7 Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC 0.04% 45,242 $673K
8 RENAISSANCE GROUP LLC 0.03% 46,818 $696K
9 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 0.01% 379,000 $5.6M
10 TWO SIGMA ADVISERS, LP 0.01% 268,400 $4.1M
11 Jump Financial, LLC 0.01% 30,870 $459K
12 Erste Asset Management GmbH 0.01% 41,191 $615K
13 TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP 0.00% 322,286 $4.8M
14 WealthCollab, LLC 0.00% 514 $8K
15 Swedbank AB 0.00% 189,200 $2.8M
16 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 10,380 $154K
17 FMR LLC 0.00% 2,702,407 $40.2M
18 Merit Financial Group, LLC 0.00% 15,331 $228K
19 Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC 0.00% 14,025 $209K
20 Stone House Investment Management, LLC 0.00% 468 $7K
21 LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 48,776 $725K
22 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. 0.00% 104,506 $1.6M
23 Pictet Asset Management Holding SA 0.00% 30,062 $447K
24 DODGE & COX 0.00% 51,287 $763K
25 MARSHALL WACE, LLP 0.00% 16,584 $247K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — AFYA LTD (AFYA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AFYA?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AFYA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AFYA?

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying: Last quarter: 33 funds reduced or exited vs 23 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AFYA holders?

Strong quality — 30% AUM from major funds: 18 of 54 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 30% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AFYA?

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 31 out of 54 hedge funds have held AFYA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy AFYA LTD (AFYA) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AFYA has moved -0.8% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.0% for the XLP sector ETF — an outperformance of -1.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AFYA has gained -5.1% vs +4.3% for XLP. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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