Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ARCOS DORADOS HLDGS INC (ARCO)

159 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ARCO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +2
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
53%

Smart Money Signals — ARCO

Based on 157 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARCO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 90% of 3.0Y peak

90% of all-time peak
157 funds currently hold this stock — 90% of the 3.0-year high of 174 funds (reached 2024 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding ARCO is almost the same as a year ago (+2 funds, +1% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 53% buying

87 buying76 selling
Last quarter: 87 funds bought or added vs 76 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 34 → 22 → 33 → 27. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 62% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 20% new
98 out of 157 hedge funds have held ARCO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~27 new funds/quarter

28 → 34 → 22 → 33 → 27 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 22 → 33 → 27. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 67% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 67% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Of 159 current holders: 107 (67%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 12% AUM from top-100

12% from top-100 AUM funds
23 of 157 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 12% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.0
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ARCO

How many hedge funds hold ARCO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ARCO vs. share price

Market Analysis: ARCO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ARCO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

18 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ARCO
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 10 days 159 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ARCO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 159 160 -0.62%
13F Shares 88M 84M 4.25%
Total Value $643M $567M 13.35%
New Positions 27 33 -6
Increased Positions 64 61 +3
Closed Positions 25 25 -
Reduced Positions 54 53 +1
Total Calls 2 4 -50.0%
Total Puts 0 2 -100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.5 Bullish

Statistics: ARCO

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

159 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ARCO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of ARCO — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Fundamenta Capital S.A. 6.65% 938,239 $7.7M
2 SPX Gestao de Recursos Ltda 4.08% 5,949,286 $49.1M
3 West Tower Group, LLC 2.83% 109,859 $906K
4 INCA Investments LLC 1.92% 654,392 $5.4M
5 MANAGED ASSET PORTFOLIOS, LLC 1.53% 1,545,075 $12.7M
6 O'Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc. 1.29% 631,729 $5.2M
7 PRIVATE MANAGEMENT GROUP INC 0.80% 3,355,886 $27.7M
8 Seafarer Capital Partners, LLC 0.76% 400,000 $3.3M
9 American Capital Advisory, LLC 0.62% 185,836 $1.5M
10 GENERAL AMERICAN INVESTORS CO INC 0.52% 950,178 $7.8M
11 VELA Investment Management, LLC 0.32% 167,400 $1.4M
12 PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC 0.29% 10,741,166 $88.6M
13 ACORN FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES INC /ADV 0.25% 218,167 $1.8M
14 WJ Financial Advisors LLC 0.18% 27,620 $228K
15 DELTEC ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.18% 120,400 $993K
16 Perpetual Ltd 0.18% 1,434,814 $11.8M
17 TimesSquare Capital Management, LLC 0.08% 538,652 $4K
18 GSA CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP 0.07% 134,014 $1K
19 Baker Ellis Asset Management LLC 0.06% 64,000 $528K
20 DUMAC, INC. 0.06% 60,857 $502K
21 R Squared Ltd 0.06% 13,117 $108K
22 Diligent Investors, LLC 0.06% 27,419 $226K
23 QUATTRO FINANCIAL ADVISORS LLC 0.05% 20,555 $170K
24 NJ State Employees Deferred Compensation Plan 0.05% 65,779 $444K
25 State of New Jersey Common Pension Fund D 0.05% 1,486,822 $12.3M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ARCOS DORADOS HLDGS INC (ARCO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ARCO?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARCO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ARCO?

Slight buying edge — 53% buying: Last quarter: 87 funds bought or added vs 76 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ARCO holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 12% AUM from top-100: 23 of 157 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 12% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held ARCO?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 98 out of 157 hedge funds have held ARCO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.