Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Certara Inc (CERT)

235 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in CERT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -14
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
52%

Smart Money Signals — CERT

Based on 237 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CERT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 93% of 3.0Y peak

93% of all-time peak
237 funds currently hold this stock — 93% of the 3.0-year high of 254 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding CERT is almost the same as a year ago (+5 funds, +2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 52% buying

150 buying141 selling
Last quarter: 150 funds bought or added vs 141 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~61 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 44 → 59 → 59 → 61. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

48% of holders stayed for 2+ years

48% conviction (2yr+) 21% medium 31% new
114 out of 237 hedge funds have held CERT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +31% but shares only +0% — price-driven

Value
+30%
Shares
+0%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +31%, but actual share count only changed +0%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

43 → 44 → 59 → 59 → 61 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 44 → 59 → 59 → 61. A growing number of institutions are discovering CERT each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 57% veterans vs 31% newcomers

57% veterans 12% 1-2yr 31% new
Entry-cohort mix of 239 holders: 136 (57%) are 2+ year veterans, 29 entered 1–2 years ago, and 74 (31%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds

55% from top-100 AUM funds
49 of 236 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in CERT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — CERT

In 2026 Q2, 150 hedge funds were net buyers of CERT (61 opened a new position, 89 added to an existing one), while 141 reduced or exited (66 trimmed, 75 sold completely) — a 52% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 55% of total institutional value in CERT is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -14 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 237.

Hedge Fund Ownership: CERT

How many hedge funds hold CERT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CERT vs. share price

Market Analysis: CERT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CERT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

13 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
5.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: CERT
235 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in CERT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 235 251 -6.37%
13F Shares 134M 135M -0.54%
Total Value $862M $754M 14.21%
New Positions 61 59 +2
Increased Positions 86 101 -15
Closed Positions 76 62 +14
Reduced Positions 65 61 +4
Total Calls 3 3 -
Total Puts 0 1 -100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.33 Bullish

Statistics: CERT

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

235 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in CERT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 CERT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Haveli Investment Management LLC 26.95% 7,400,000 $48.5M
2 Kopion Asset Management, LLC 7.69% 1,858,539 $12.2M
3 Tejara Capital Ltd 3.48% 1,292,721 $8.5M
4 Timothy G. Youngquist 2020 Irrevocable Trust 1.87% 289,295 $2.5M
5 Nano Cap New Millennium Growth Fund L P 1.26% 250,000 $1.6M
6 Deerfield Management Company, L.P. 0.51% 7,512,928 $49.2M
7 Bastion Asset Management Inc. 0.33% 160,167 $981K
8 Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel Inc. 0.33% 1,545,956 $10.1M
9 Jefferies Financial Group Inc. 0.31% 7,091,051 $46.4M
10 ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC 0.27% 1,001,592 $6.6M
11 Systematic Financial Management LP 0.25% 1,892,050 $12.4M
12 Wasatch Advisors LP 0.18% 4,298,825 $28.2M
13 Royce & Associates LP 0.15% 2,756,026 $18.1M
14 Granite Investment Partners, LLC 0.13% 379,479 $2.5M
15 Pension & Wealth Management Advisors, INC. 0.11% 8,015 $129K
16 Atom Investors LP 0.10% 177,281 $1.2M
17 Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc /Oh/ 0.09% 2,864,204 $18.8M
18 Arrowpoint Investment Partners (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. 0.08% 54,326 $356K
19 Nicholas Company, INC. 0.07% 567,460 $3.7M
20 Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC 0.06% 169,317 $1.1M
21 Dark Forest Capital Management LP 0.05% 126,494 $829K
22 Harvest Management LLC 0.05% 20,000 $131K
23 Rudius Management LP 0.05% 28,600 $187K
24 Mendel Money Management 0.03% 14,250 $93K
25 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.03% 106,580 $698K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Certara Inc (CERT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for CERT?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CERT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for CERT?

Slight buying edge — 52% buying: Last quarter: 150 funds bought or added vs 141 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for CERT holders?

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds: 49 of 236 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in CERT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held CERT?

48% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 114 out of 237 hedge funds have held CERT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →