Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

MOSAIC CO (MOS)

654 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MOS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -51
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
45%

Smart Money Signals — MOS

Based on 608 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MOS positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
608 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 659 funds (reached 2025 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +5% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+27 new funds entered over the past year (+5% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction. The peak was reached in just 3 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying

330 buying404 selling
Last quarter: 404 funds reduced or exited vs 330 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+10 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MOS position: 118 → 144 → 104 → 114. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 69% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 16% new
422 out of 608 hedge funds have held MOS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -2%, value -29%

Value
-28%
Shares
-2%
Last quarter: funds added -2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -29%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

89 → 118 → 144 → 104 → 114 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 118 → 144 → 104 → 114. MOS is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 75% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 75% veterans ■ 8% 1-2yr ■ 17% new
Of 654 current holders: 493 (75%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 64% AUM from top-100 funds

64% from top-100 AUM funds
43 of 608 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 64% of total institutional value in MOS. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MOS

In 2025 Q4, 330 hedge funds were net buyers of MOS (114 opened a new position, 216 added to an existing one), while 404 reduced or exited (239 trimmed, 165 sold completely) — a 45% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 64% of total institutional value in MOS is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -51 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 608.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MOS

How many hedge funds hold MOS — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MOS vs. share price

Market Analysis: MOS

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MOS

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

80 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
8.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MOS
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 5 days 654 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MOS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 654 715 -8.53%
13F Shares 299M 306M -2.05%
Total Value $7.49B $10.54B -28.91%
New Positions 116 105 +11
Increased Positions 292 332 -40
Closed Positions 171 98 +73
Reduced Positions 294 305 -11
Total Calls 28 36 -22.22%
Total Puts 25 28 -10.71%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.89 0.78 Neutral

Statistics: MOS

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

654 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MOS. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of MOS — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 ABBINGTON INVESTMENT GROUP 5.66% 381,259 $9.7M
2 TERRIL BROTHERS, INC. 5.39% 772,635 $19.7M
3 COLRAIN CAPITAL LLC 4.93% 500,107 $12.8M
4 AEGIS FINANCIAL CORP 3.75% 853,638 $21.8M
5 Randolph Co Inc 3.36% 1,381,142 $35.2M
6 Soviero Asset Management, LP 2.74% 215,000 $5.5M
7 Titan Wealth (CI) Ltd 2.48% 224,939 $5.7M
8 MANAGED ASSET PORTFOLIOS, LLC 2.23% 728,225 $18.6M
9 Sage Capital Advisors,llc 2.13% 360,665 $9.2M
10 DONALD SMITH & CO., INC. 2.12% 4,617,691 $117.8M
11 FOUNDATION RESOURCE MANAGEMENT INC 1.96% 683,731 $17.4M
12 S&CO INC 1.52% 963,667 $25K
13 THOMPSON SIEGEL & WALMSLEY LLC 1.36% 3,037,020 $77K
14 Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC 1.26% 922,305 $23.5M
15 Sicart Associates LLC 1.20% 183,418 $4.7M
16 BUTENSKY & COHEN FINANCIAL SECURITY, INC 1.17% 174,065 $4.4M
17 Step Capital Management Pte. Ltd. 1.02% 100,000 $2.5M
18 Core Alternative Capital 0.90% 119,220 $3.0M
19 Massar Capital Management, LP 0.90% 328,658 $8.4M
20 CoreCommodity Management, LLC 0.89% 188,490 $4.8M
21 Perseverance Asset Management International 0.84% 300,000 $7.7M
22 Live Oak Private Wealth LLC 0.77% 215,211 $5.5M
23 Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd 0.73% 502,751 $12.8M
24 NANO CAP NEW MILLENNIUM GROWTH FUND L P 0.66% 27,500 $701K
25 Ceredex Value Advisors LLC 0.57% 712,162 $18.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — MOSAIC CO (MOS)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MOS?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MOS positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for MOS?

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying: Last quarter: 404 funds reduced or exited vs 330 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for MOS holders?

Elite ownership — 64% AUM from top-100 funds: 43 of 608 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 64% of total institutional value in MOS. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MOS?

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 422 out of 608 hedge funds have held MOS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.