Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Progress Software Corp (PRGS)

284 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PRGS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -17
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — PRGS

Based on 289 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PRGS positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 84% of 3.0Y peak

84% of all-time peak
289 funds currently hold this stock — 84% of the 3.0-year high of 343 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 6% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
20 fewer hedge funds hold PRGS compared to a year ago (-6% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

152 buying179 selling
Last quarter: 179 funds reduced or exited vs 152 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~54 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 65 → 41 → 55 → 54. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

61% conviction (2yr+) 21% medium 18% new
177 out of 289 hedge funds have held PRGS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -9%, value -48%

Value
-47%
Shares
-9%
Last quarter: funds added -9% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -48%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~54 new funds/quarter

47 → 65 → 41 → 55 → 54 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 65 → 41 → 55 → 54. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 70% veterans vs 21% newcomers

70% veterans 9% 1-2yr 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 305 holders: 215 (70%) are 2+ year veterans, 27 entered 1–2 years ago, and 63 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 38% AUM from major funds

38% from top-100 AUM funds
44 of 287 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 38% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
2.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PRGS

In 2026 Q1, 152 hedge funds were net buyers of PRGS (54 opened a new position, 98 added to an existing one), while 179 reduced or exited (108 trimmed, 71 sold completely) — a 46% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 38% of total institutional value in PRGS is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -17 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 289.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PRGS

How many hedge funds hold PRGS — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PRGS vs. share price

Market Analysis: PRGS

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PRGS

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Progress Software Corp (PRGS) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much PRGS has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 9d ago
PRGS
+12.4%
XLK
-4.8%

PRGS outperformed XLK by +17.2% since June 30, 2026.

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

29 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
6.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PRGS
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 41 days 284 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PRGS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 284 306 -7.19%
13F Shares 44M 48M -9.91%
Total Value $1.07B $2.06B -48.1%
New Positions 51 55 -4
Increased Positions 91 104 -13
Closed Positions 73 51 +22
Reduced Positions 105 114 -9
Total Calls 9 10 -10.0%
Total Puts 9 10 -10.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: PRGS

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

284 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PRGS. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 6 PRGS holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Moody National Bank Trust Division 0.08% 28,230 $948K
2 Chesley Taft & Associates LLC 0.01% 9,182 $308K
3 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.01% 2,645 $89K
4 GAMMA Investing LLC 0.00% 2,126 $71K
5 Retirement Wealth Solutions LLC 0.00% 90 $3K
6 MassMutual Private Wealth & Trust, FSB 0.00% 374 $13K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Progress Software Corp (PRGS)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PRGS?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PRGS positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for PRGS?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 179 funds reduced or exited vs 152 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for PRGS holders?

Strong quality — 38% AUM from major funds: 44 of 287 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 38% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held PRGS?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 177 out of 289 hedge funds have held PRGS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Progress Software Corp (PRGS) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), PRGS has gained +12.4% vs -4.8% for XLK. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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